Sep 222017
 
Bill Longbrake

Bill Longbrake

Optimism in the domestic and global economic outlooks has ratcheted up a notch, but has not reached a euphoric level that often presages a building speculative bubble and end-of-cycle climax. Political drama in our nation’s capital and a spate of global and domestic natural disasters have not dampened optimism. Economic activity is grinding higher ever so slowly. Risks, which always lurk beneath the surface and which have a nasty habit of surprising markets, are slumbering. Eventually, a correction, or more likely a recession, will occur. Bill Longbrake observes that predicting timing is always difficult as the good times always seem to go on a lot longer than expected. In the absence of flagrant speculation-driven bubbles, there is good reason to expect favorable economic conditions to prevail for the next several quarters.

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